· Analysis updated 08:04 UTC
Schalding-Heining vs Pfaffenhofen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Schalding-Heining and 2.03 for Pfaffenhofen, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Pfaffenhofen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.3% probability
Expected goals
1.92 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.6%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–35.1%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pfaffenhofen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 38% / 21% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.92 goals for Schalding-Heining and 2.03 for Pfaffenhofen, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 74%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 62% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Schalding-Heining
Pfaffenhofen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.