· Analysis updated 10:35 UTC
Schalke 04 U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Schalke 04 U19 and 0.65 for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19, a combined total of 1.88. That distribution gives Schalke 04 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 29% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Schalke 04 U19 win
50.1% probability
Expected goals
1.22 – 0.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schalke 04 U19 home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schalke 04 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 30% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.22 goals for Schalke 04 U19 and 0.65 for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19, a combined 1.88 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 29% and both teams to score at 34%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.8%
- 0–015.3%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–011.5%
- 0–110.0%
Recent form
Schalke 04 U19
- 2026-08-29T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rödinghausen U19 · 3-1 (W)
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Schalke 04 U19 win, at 50.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 29%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.