Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 317:00

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Friday, 14 August 2026

· Analysis updated 13:32 UTC

Scheiblingkirchen vs Favoritner AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Scheiblingkirchen and 0.98 for Favoritner AC, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Scheiblingkirchen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Scheiblingkirchen win

51.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Scheiblingkirchen home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Favoritner AC away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Scheiblingkirchen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 25% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for Scheiblingkirchen and 0.98 for Favoritner AC, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Scheiblingkirchen win51%
Draw25%
Favoritner AC win24%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–07.7%

Recent form

Scheiblingkirchen

  • 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wiener Viktoria · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Favoritner AC · 1-0 (W)

Favoritner AC

  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Donau · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T17:10:00.000Z · H vs Leobendorf · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf118122025
2Oberwart11713822
3Wiener SC116231320
4Scheiblingkirchen11542019
5Traiskirchen11533318
6Wiener Viktoria11524517
7Krems / Rehberg11524317
8Fach-Donaufeld11524017
9Parndorf11434115
10Leobendorf11425-114
11Mattersburg SV 202011416-513
12Favoritner AC11416-513
13Donau11263-312
14Gloggnitz11335-712
15SV Horn11326-211
16Wienerberg110110-301

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Scheiblingkirchen win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.