Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 517:00

2 – 1

Friday, 28 August 2026

Wiener SCWDLWL

· Analysis updated 16:16 UTC

Scheiblingkirchen vs Wiener SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Scheiblingkirchen and 2.11 for Wiener SC, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Wiener SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wiener SC win

53.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 2.11

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Scheiblingkirchen home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wiener SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 25% / 21% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for Scheiblingkirchen and 2.11 for Wiener SC, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Scheiblingkirchen win25%
Draw21%
Wiener SC win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 0–26.7%
  • 1–36.6%
  • 2–26.5%

Recent form

Scheiblingkirchen

  • 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wiener Viktoria · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Favoritner AC · 1-0 (W)

Wiener SC

  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Favoritner AC · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf128131825
2Wiener SC127231523
3Oberwart12723823
4Traiskirchen12633421
5Wiener Viktoria12624620
6Krems / Rehberg12624420
7Fach-Donaufeld12624120
8Scheiblingkirchen12543-119
9Leobendorf12525217
10Mattersburg SV 202012516-416
11Parndorf12435015
12Favoritner AC12417-613
13Gloggnitz12345-713
14Donau12264-412
15SV Horn12327-311
16Wienerberg120111-331

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wiener SC win, at 53.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.