· Analysis updated 05:51 UTC
Schonnebeck vs Germania Ratingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.68 expected goals for Schonnebeck and 1.48 for Germania Ratingen, a combined total of 5.15. That distribution gives Schonnebeck the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Schonnebeck win
77.2% probability
Expected goals
3.68 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schonnebeck home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Germania Ratingen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
23%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.1%
- 4–16.5%
- 2–15.8%
- 3–25.2%
- 4–24.8%
Recent form
Schonnebeck
- 2026-10-24T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SW Essen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Scherpenberg · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SF Baumberg · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Holzheimer SG · 3-0 (W)
Germania Ratingen
- 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Meerbusch · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sonsbeck · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-10-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SW Essen · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Scherpenberg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SF Baumberg · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 2-2 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2026-02-27T18:30:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 1-1 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2025-09-07T13:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 4-3 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2025-03-28T18:30:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 2-0 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2024-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 1-1 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2024-04-27T16:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 6-0 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2023-10-29T14:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 1-4 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2023-04-23T13:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 2-3 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2022-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 1-2 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
- 2022-04-24T13:30:00.000Z · Schonnebeck 0-4 Germania Ratingen (Oberliga - Niederrhein)
Oberliga - Niederrhein table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 29 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | SF Baumberg | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Monheim | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | SC St. Tönis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Sonsbeck | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | BW Dingden | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Germania Ratingen | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Solingen-Wald | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Wuppertaler SV | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 | Scherpenberg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Büderich | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | Meerbusch | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 17 | SW Essen | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Holzheimer SG | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -25 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Schonnebeck win, at 77.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.