· Analysis updated 06:36 UTC
Schonnebeck vs Gievenbeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Schonnebeck and 1.18 for Gievenbeck, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Schonnebeck the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Schonnebeck win
52.0% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schonnebeck home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gievenbeck away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schonnebeck to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 23% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Schonnebeck and 1.18 for Gievenbeck, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.3%
- 1–26.3%
Recent form
Schonnebeck
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Holzheimer SG · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SC St. Tönis · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Dingden · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Büderich · 7-1 (W)
Gievenbeck
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hiltrup · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Verl II · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Victoria Clarholz · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster II · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Schonnebeck win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.