· Analysis updated 19:43 UTC
Schott Mainz U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Schott Mainz U19 and 2.50 for Saarbrücken U19, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Saarbrücken U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Saarbrücken U19 win
50.0% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schott Mainz U19 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Saarbrücken U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Saarbrücken U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 31% / 19% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Schott Mainz U19 and 2.50 for Saarbrücken U19, a combined 4.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–35.9%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–15.6%
Recent form
Schott Mainz U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Saarbrücken U19 win, at 50.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.