· Analysis updated 09:47 UTC
Schott Mainz U19 vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Schott Mainz U19 and 2.65 for Wehen Wiesbaden U19, a combined total of 4.65. That distribution gives Wehen Wiesbaden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win
52.3% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schott Mainz U19 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wehen Wiesbaden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 29% / 18% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Schott Mainz U19 and 2.65 for Wehen Wiesbaden U19, a combined 4.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–35.9%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–15.1%
Recent form
Schott Mainz U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win, at 52.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.