Schwaben Augsburg vs Eichstätt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for Schwaben Augsburg and 1.42 for Eichstätt, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Eichstätt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Schwaben Augsburg home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eichstätt away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eichstätt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 36% / 25% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.36 goals for Schwaben Augsburg and 1.42 for Eichstätt, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Schwaben Augsburg win36%

Draw25%

Eichstätt win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–112.0%
0–18.8%
1–28.5%
1–08.5%
2–18.2%

Recent form

Schwaben Augsburg

2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Aubstadt · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayreuth · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vilzing · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Bayern München II · 3-4 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Landsberg · 1-1 (D)

Eichstätt

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wacker Burghausen · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SpVgg Unterhaching · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Eltersdorf · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Schweinfurt 05 · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Bayern table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Memmingen	15	9	3	3	8	30
2	Buchbach	15	8	4	3	7	28
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	14	6	7	1	9	25
4	TSV 1860 München	14	6	6	2	10	24
5	Illertissen	14	6	5	3	9	23
6	Bayreuth	15	7	1	7	8	22
7	Vilzing	14	5	6	3	1	21
8	Augsburg II	14	6	3	5	-2	21
9	Eichstätt	15	6	3	6	-4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	14	5	4	5	7	19
11	Nürnberg II	13	6	1	6	6	19
12	Bayern München II	13	5	4	4	4	19
13	Eltersdorf	14	4	6	4	1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	14	4	3	7	-11	15
15	FC Schweinfurt 05	14	3	5	6	-11	14
16	Greuther Fürth II	14	3	4	7	-4	13
17	Ansbach	14	3	3	8	-16	12
18	Aubstadt	14	2	4	8	-7	10
19	Landsberg	14	1	6	7	-15	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.