· Analysis updated 13:41 UTC
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Dornbirn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and 1.72 for Dornbirn, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Dornbirn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dornbirn win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dornbirn away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dornbirn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 31% / 24% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and 1.72 for Dornbirn, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–26.6%
Recent form
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Voitsberg · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Kapfenberg · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Wacker Innsbruck · 0-5 (L)
Dornbirn
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lauterach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fügen · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lustenau · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 7-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dornbirn win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.