Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden and 1.63 for Wilhelmshaven, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Wilhelmshaven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wilhelmshaven away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wilhelmshaven to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 37% / 23% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.57 goals for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden and 1.63 for Wilhelmshaven, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win37%

Draw23%

Wilhelmshaven win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.4%
1–28.5%
2–18.2%
2–26.7%
0–16.6%

Recent form

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden

2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemmingen · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 3-0 (W)

Wilhelmshaven

2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Verden 04 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vorsfelde · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nordhorn · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Spelle-Venhaus · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Niedersachsen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heeslinger SC	10	6	3	1	17	21
2	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	6	2	2	15	20
3	Wilhelmshaven	9	6	2	1	13	20
4	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	9	6	2	1	10	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	9	6	1	2	7	19
6	Spelle-Venhaus	9	5	3	1	7	18
7	BW Lohne	9	4	2	3	4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	4	1	4	2	13
9	Meppen II	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Nordhorn	10	3	2	5	-13	11
11	Verden 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Germania Egestorf	9	2	2	5	-9	8
13	Hemmingen	9	2	1	6	-15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	9	0	6	3	-3	6
15	Vorsfelde	10	1	2	7	-17	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	1	0	8	-13	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.