Schwaz vs Röthis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Schwaz and 2.50 for Röthis, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Schwaz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

59.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 2.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Schwaz home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Röthis away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schwaz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 18% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Schwaz and 2.50 for Röthis, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Schwaz win41%

Draw18%

Röthis win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals87%

Over 3.5 goals73%

Both teams to score84%

Correct score

2–26.6%
2–35.5%
3–25.5%
1–25.3%
2–15.3%

Recent form

Schwaz

2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Swarovski Tirol II · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SVG Reichenau · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornbirn · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach II · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kufstein · 2-1 (W)

Röthis

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lochau · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SK St. Johann · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfurt · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Swarovski Tirol II · 3-4 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SVG Reichenau · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Imst	12	9	1	2	17	28
2	Schwaz	12	9	1	2	11	28
3	Hohenems	12	9	0	3	14	27
4	Dornbirn	12	7	3	2	14	24
5	Kitzbühel	12	7	1	4	9	22
6	Röthis	12	6	3	3	3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	6	2	4	14	20
8	SK St. Johann	12	5	3	4	4	18
9	Fügen	12	5	1	6	-6	16
10	SVG Reichenau	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Lauterach	12	3	3	6	-5	12
12	Kufstein	12	2	5	5	-1	11
13	Lochau	12	3	2	7	-13	11
14	Lustenau	12	1	4	7	-20	7
15	Rheindorf Altach II	12	1	3	8	-16	6
16	Wolfurt	12	1	1	10	-22	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 59.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.