· Analysis updated 02:18 UTC
SCM Zalău vs Academica Recea Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.91 expected goals for SCM Zalău and 1.25 for Academica Recea, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives SCM Zalău the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SCM Zalău win
52.8% probability
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SCM Zalău home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Academica Recea away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SCM Zalău to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.91 goals for SCM Zalău and 1.25 for Academica Recea, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.3%
Recent form
SCM Zalău
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bihorul Beiuş · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sânmartin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 2-0 (W)
Academica Recea
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Tășnad · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Transilvania Sport Academy · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Cluj · 2-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 23 |
| 2 | Sănătatea Cluj | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Academica Recea | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | SCM Zalău | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Sânmartin | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bihorul Beiuş | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Viitorul Cluj | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Unirea Tășnad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 9 |
| 11 | Unirea Dej | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SCM Zalău win, at 52.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.