· Analysis updated 07:22 UTC
SCM Zalău vs Crişul Sântandrei Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for SCM Zalău and 1.20 for Crişul Sântandrei, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives SCM Zalău the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SCM Zalău win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SCM Zalău home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Crişul Sântandrei away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
SCM Zalău
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sânmartin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Tășnad · 4-0 (W)
Crişul Sântandrei
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SCM Zalău · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihorul Beiuş · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Minaur Baia Mare · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-27T13:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 0-0 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 8)
- 2025-11-01T12:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 4-0 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 8)
- 2025-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 1-2 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2025-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 2-1 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2025-04-04T14:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 5-0 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2024-11-16T12:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 1-0 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2024-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 2-5 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2024-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 1-2 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2024-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 3-0 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2024-04-13T14:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 2-1 Crişul Sântandrei (Liga III - Serie 10)
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Sănătatea Cluj | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | SCM Zalău | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Academica Recea | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sânmartin | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Viitorul Cluj | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Bihorul Beiuş | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Unirea Tășnad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 9 |
| 11 | Unirea Dej | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -25 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SCM Zalău win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.