· Analysis updated 19:03 UTC
SCM Zalău vs Gloria Bistriţa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for SCM Zalău and 0.99 for Gloria Bistriţa, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives SCM Zalău the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SCM Zalău win
55.6% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SCM Zalău home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gloria Bistriţa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SCM Zalău to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for SCM Zalău and 0.99 for Gloria Bistriţa, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.2%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.4%
Recent form
SCM Zalău
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sânmartin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Tășnad · 4-0 (W)
Gloria Bistriţa
- 2026-10-24T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Dumbrăviţa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T10:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Bacau · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 0-1 Gloria Bistriţa (Cupa României)
- 2023-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 2-1 Gloria Bistriţa (Cupa României)
- 2023-03-11T13:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 2-1 Gloria Bistriţa (Liga III - Serie 10)
- 2022-10-07T12:00:00.000Z · SCM Zalău 1-3 Gloria Bistriţa (Liga III - Serie 10)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SCM Zalău win, at 55.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.