Cashpoint-Arena · Analysis updated 13:49 UTC
SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.60 for Austria Vienna, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Austria Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.1% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SCR Altach home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Vienna away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–06.8%
Recent form
SCR Altach
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grazer AK · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Bischofshofen · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lask Linz · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 1-2 (L)
Austria Vienna
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Admira Wacker · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Grazer AK · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Lustenau · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Traiskirchen · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-21T16:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 2-1 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2025-08-31T15:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 0-1 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2024-12-08T16:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 0-3 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2024-09-01T15:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 1-1 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2024-04-26T17:30:00.000Z · SCR Altach 2-2 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2024-03-16T16:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 1-1 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2024-02-17T16:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 1-2 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2023-09-24T12:30:00.000Z · SCR Altach 2-1 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2022-10-30T13:30:00.000Z · SCR Altach 1-2 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
- 2022-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · SCR Altach 3-2 Austria Vienna (Bundesliga)
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.