Austria · Bundesliga · Matchweek 217:30
SCR AltachWLLLL

3 – 1

Friday, 7 August 2026

WSG WattensLLDWW

Cashpoint-Arena · Referee Sebastian Gishamer, Austria · Analysis updated 14:36 UTC

SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.24 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives SCR Altach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.24

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SCR Altach home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • WSG Wattens away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates SCR Altach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 26% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.47 goals for SCR Altach and 1.24 for WSG Wattens, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SCR Altach win43%
Draw26%
WSG Wattens win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.5%

Recent form

SCR Altach

  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grazer AK · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Bischofshofen · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lask Linz · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 1-2 (L)

WSG Wattens

  • 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Liefering · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna87011621
2Red Bull Salzburg85301418
3Lask Linz85121016
4Sturm Graz8422114
5Ried8323011
6TSV Hartberg8323-211
7Grazer AK8233-109
8Austria Lustenau8224-48
9WSG Wattens8224-48
10Austria Vienna8215-87
11SCR Altach8206-46
12Wolfsberger AC8125-95

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.