· Analysis updated 17:10 UTC
SeaSters Odesa W vs Rosenborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for SeaSters Odesa W and 1.47 for Rosenborg W, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Rosenborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.7% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.47
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rosenborg W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rosenborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for SeaSters Odesa W and 1.47 for Rosenborg W, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–07.8%
Recent form
SeaSters Odesa W
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 0-5 (L)
Rosenborg W
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk W · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.