Ghana · Division One League · Matchweek 2915:00

5 – 1

Saturday, 9 May 2026

· Analysis updated 13:25 UTC

Sefwi All Stars vs Eleven Wise Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Sefwi All Stars and 1.07 for Eleven Wise, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives Sefwi All Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sefwi All Stars win

51.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sefwi All Stars home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eleven Wise away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sefwi All Stars to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for Sefwi All Stars and 1.07 for Eleven Wise, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sefwi All Stars win52%
Draw24%
Eleven Wise win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–16.9%

Recent form

Sefwi All Stars

  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fettehman United · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Elmina Sharks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Soccer Intellectuals · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Police National · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Eleven Wise · 5-1 (W)

Eleven Wise

  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ebony FC · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sefwi All Stars · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Police National · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rospak · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-04-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs New Edubiase · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division One League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebusua Dwarfs5401312
1Koforidua54101113
1Sankara Nationals5410413
1VC Warriors5311510
2Nations5320411
2Inter Allies5320411
2Real Tamale5311410
2Mighty Royals5311510
3Pro-Sports Academy5311610
3Hakla SC523039
3Steadfast522138
3Techiman Liberty521217
4Ebony FC5311210
4Accra Lions522138
4Berekum City5212-17
4Yapei5212-17
5Soccer Intellectuals523029
5Okwawu522118
5Wa Power512205
5Bectero Sasana5212-17
6Nsuopun Fidelity522118
6WAFA5221-38
6Kalibi SC5122-55
6Dormaa5212-17
7Elmina Sharks522108
7Golden Kicks521227
7Tamale City5113-24
7Eleven Wonders5113-44
8Fettehman United514027
87th Wave514017
8Northern City5023-32
8KAC Soccer5113-44
9Skyy521217
9Nania521207
10Ebiemo FC5203-16
10Home Stars513116
11PAC Academy5122-15
11True Democracy5131-26
12Rospak5113-24
12Attram de Visser5122-25
13King Faisal5113-44
13Great Olympics5113-24
14Sefwi All Stars5032-23
14Nukunu5113-54
15Future Stars5104-73
15Kotoku Royals5023-52
16New Edubiase5014-41
16Golden Warriors5005-70

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sefwi All Stars win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.