Ghana · Division One League · Matchweek 315:00

1 – 1

Sunday, 4 October 2026

· Analysis updated 14:35 UTC

Sefwi All Stars vs Fettehman United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.69 expected goals for Sefwi All Stars and 0.91 for Fettehman United, a combined total of 1.60. That distribution gives Fettehman United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

73.9% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.69 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sefwi All Stars home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Fettehman United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 26% / 35% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.69 goals for Sefwi All Stars and 0.91 for Fettehman United, a combined 1.60 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% and both teams to score at 30%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%.

Match result (1X2)

Sefwi All Stars win26%
Draw35%
Fettehman United win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals22%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score30%

Correct score

  • 0–020.2%
  • 0–118.4%
  • 1–013.9%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–28.4%

Recent form

Sefwi All Stars

  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fettehman United · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Elmina Sharks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Soccer Intellectuals · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Police National · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Eleven Wise · 5-1 (W)

Fettehman United

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division One League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Ebusua Dwarfs5401312
    1Koforidua54101113
    1Sankara Nationals5410413
    1VC Warriors5311510
    2Nations5320411
    2Inter Allies5320411
    2Real Tamale5311410
    2Mighty Royals5311510
    3Pro-Sports Academy5311610
    3Hakla SC523039
    3Steadfast522138
    3Techiman Liberty521217
    4Ebony FC5311210
    4Accra Lions522138
    4Berekum City5212-17
    4Yapei5212-17
    5Soccer Intellectuals523029
    5Okwawu522118
    5Wa Power512205
    5Bectero Sasana5212-17
    6Nsuopun Fidelity522118
    6WAFA5221-38
    6Kalibi SC5122-55
    6Dormaa5212-17
    7Elmina Sharks522108
    7Golden Kicks521227
    7Tamale City5113-24
    7Eleven Wonders5113-44
    8Fettehman United514027
    87th Wave514017
    8Northern City5023-32
    8KAC Soccer5113-44
    9Skyy521217
    9Nania521207
    10Ebiemo FC5203-16
    10Home Stars513116
    11PAC Academy5122-15
    11True Democracy5131-26
    12Rospak5113-24
    12Attram de Visser5122-25
    13King Faisal5113-44
    13Great Olympics5113-24
    14Sefwi All Stars5032-23
    14Nukunu5113-54
    15Future Stars5104-73
    15Kotoku Royals5023-52
    16New Edubiase5014-41
    16Golden Warriors5005-70

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 73.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.

    A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.