· Analysis updated 01:43 UTC
Segesta Sisak vs Karlovac 1919 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Segesta Sisak and 0.80 for Karlovac 1919, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Segesta Sisak the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Segesta Sisak win
62.8% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Segesta Sisak home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Karlovac 1919 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Segesta Sisak to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 22% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Segesta Sisak and 0.80 for Karlovac 1919, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.9%
- 2–012.1%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.6%
Recent form
Segesta Sisak
- 2026-08-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Radenska Slatina · 18-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Orijent 1919 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-14T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dubrava Zagreb · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Lucko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Krka · 4-1 (W)
Karlovac 1919
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Segesta Sisak · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Dubrava Zagreb · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bjelovar · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Ždralovi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hrvace · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Segesta Sisak win, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.