Peter Mokaba Stadium · Analysis updated 05:02 UTC
Sekhukhune United vs Amazulu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Sekhukhune United and 1.28 for Amazulu, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Amazulu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sekhukhune United home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Amazulu away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–08.2%
- 1–28.2%
Recent form
Sekhukhune United
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marumo Gallants · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Richards Bay · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Stellenbosch · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs TS Galaxy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Orlando Pirates · 0-3 (L)
Amazulu
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kruger United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Durban City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Polokwane City · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Marumo Gallants · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Richards Bay · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 4-3 Amazulu (8 Cup)
- 2026-04-06T15:30:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 2-2 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2025-08-27T17:30:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 1-1 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2025-02-19T17:30:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 4-2 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2025-01-08T17:30:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 2-0 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2024-05-18T13:00:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 0-1 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2024-03-14T17:00:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 0-2 Amazulu (Cup)
- 2023-12-13T17:30:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 0-1 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2023-04-29T18:00:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 0-2 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
- 2022-12-31T15:30:00.000Z · Sekhukhune United 0-0 Amazulu (Premier Soccer League)
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Kruger United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 13 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.