· Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Sekirovo Rakovski vs Maritsa Milevo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.64 expected goals for Sekirovo Rakovski and 1.53 for Maritsa Milevo, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Maritsa Milevo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Maritsa Milevo to Win
58.9% probability
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–117.4%
- 0–213.3%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Maritsa Milevo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 16% / 26% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.64 goals for Sekirovo Rakovski and 1.53 for Maritsa Milevo, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 37%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Model confidence
Maritsa Milevo to Win is the headline pick at 59% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Sekirovo Rakovski
Maritsa Milevo
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodopa Smolyan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Sayana Haskovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletik Kuklen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Levski Krumovgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Maritsa Milevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rozova dolina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Yambol 1915 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sozopol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gigant Saedinenie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Neftochimic Burgas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.