South-Korea · K League 2 · Matchweek 2210:30

3 – 1

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Mokdong Stadium · Referee Kim Jae-Hong · Analysis updated 20:40 UTC

Seoul E-Land FC vs Ansan Greeners Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.30 for Ansan Greeners, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Seoul E-Land FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Seoul E-Land FC win

52.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Seoul E-Land FC home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ansan Greeners away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Seoul E-Land FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 22% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.93 goals for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.30 for Ansan Greeners, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Seoul E-Land FC win52%
Draw22%
Ansan Greeners win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–26.5%

Recent form

Seoul E-Land FC

  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Suwon Bluewings · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Cheongju · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Seongnam FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Paju Citizen · 1-1 (D)

Ansan Greeners

  • 2026-09-20T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Cheongju · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hwaseong · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Busan I Park · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Seongnam FC · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings2819542562
2Suwon City FC2815942254
3Seoul E-Land FC2816662054
4Daegu FC2815761752
5Busan I Park2914691048
6Hwaseong2912981245
7Asan Mugunghwa281099439
8Gimpo Citizen289118238
9Gyeongnam FC288119-235
10Cheongju296149-1232
11Seongnam FC2871011-731
12Paju Citizen288713-731
13Yongin City2861210-730
14Cheonan City2861111-429
15Ansan Greeners297418-2325
16Jeonnam Dragons285914-1724
17Gimhae City283817-3317

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Seoul E-Land FC win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.