South-Korea · K League 2 · Matchweek 3207:30

07:30 UTC

Saturday, 7 November 2026

Mokdong Stadium · Analysis updated 22:49 UTC

Seoul E-Land FC vs Jeonnam Dragons Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.13 for Jeonnam Dragons, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Seoul E-Land FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Seoul E-Land FC win

49.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Seoul E-Land FC home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Seoul E-Land FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 25% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.63 goals for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.13 for Jeonnam Dragons, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Seoul E-Land FC win49%
Draw25%
Jeonnam Dragons win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–17.2%

Recent form

Seoul E-Land FC

  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Suwon Bluewings · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Cheongju · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Seongnam FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Paju Citizen · 1-1 (D)

Jeonnam Dragons

  • 2026-09-19T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Suwon City FC · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimpo Citizen · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Gimhae City · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-28T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Cheonan City · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Hwaseong · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings2819542562
2Suwon City FC2815942254
3Seoul E-Land FC2816662054
4Daegu FC2815761752
5Busan I Park2914691048
6Hwaseong2912981245
7Asan Mugunghwa281099439
8Gimpo Citizen289118238
9Gyeongnam FC288119-235
10Cheongju296149-1232
11Seongnam FC2871011-731
12Paju Citizen288713-731
13Yongin City2861210-730
14Cheonan City2861111-429
15Ansan Greeners297418-2325
16Jeonnam Dragons285914-1724
17Gimhae City283817-3317

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Seoul E-Land FC win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.