South-Korea · K League 2 · Matchweek 2607:30

0 – 1

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Mokdong Stadium · Referee W. Myeong-Hee · Analysis updated 21:56 UTC

Seoul E-Land FC vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.32 for Suwon Bluewings, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Seoul E-Land FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Seoul E-Land FC home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Suwon Bluewings away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Seoul E-Land FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 26% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.32 goals for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.32 for Suwon Bluewings, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Seoul E-Land FC win37%
Draw26%
Suwon Bluewings win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.2%

Recent form

Seoul E-Land FC

  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Suwon Bluewings · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Cheongju · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Seongnam FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Paju Citizen · 1-1 (D)

Suwon Bluewings

  • 2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Hwaseong · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Ansan Greeners · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Seoul E-Land FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Asan Mugunghwa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimpo Citizen · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Suwon Bluewings2819542562
2Suwon City FC2815942254
3Seoul E-Land FC2816662054
4Daegu FC2815761752
5Busan I Park2914691048
6Hwaseong2912981245
7Asan Mugunghwa281099439
8Gimpo Citizen289118238
9Gyeongnam FC288119-235
10Cheongju296149-1232
11Seongnam FC2871011-731
12Paju Citizen288713-731
13Yongin City2861210-730
14Cheonan City2861111-429
15Ansan Greeners297418-2325
16Jeonnam Dragons285914-1724
17Gimhae City283817-3317

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.