SG Unterrath U19 vs Hertha BSC U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for SG Unterrath U19 and 1.87 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Hertha BSC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hertha BSC U19 win

45.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

SG Unterrath U19 home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hertha BSC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 32% / 22% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for SG Unterrath U19 and 1.87 for Hertha BSC U19, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SG Unterrath U19 win32%

Draw22%

Hertha BSC U19 win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–19.5%
1–28.9%
2–17.3%
2–26.8%
0–16.2%

Recent form

SG Unterrath U19

2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 2-4 (L)
2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster U19 · 0-5 (L)
2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-3 (L)

Hertha BSC U19

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hertha BSC U19 win, at 45.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.