· Analysis updated 00:48 UTC
SG Unterrath U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for SG Unterrath U19 and 2.10 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Preußen Münster U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Preußen Münster U19 win
59.1% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SG Unterrath U19 home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Preußen Münster U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Preußen Münster U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 20% / 21% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.15 goals for SG Unterrath U19 and 2.10 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–28.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–36.9%
Recent form
SG Unterrath U19
- 2026-08-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-3 (L)
Preußen Münster U19
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster U19 win, at 59.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.