Stadion Essen · Analysis updated 13:58 UTC
SGS Essen W vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.07 expected goals for SGS Essen W and 0.57 for Eintracht Frankfurt II W, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives SGS Essen W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SGS Essen W win
86.2% probability
Expected goals
3.07 – 0.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Frankfurt II W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SGS Essen W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 86% / 10% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.07 goals for SGS Essen W and 0.57 for Eintracht Frankfurt II W, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 41%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
14%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–012.7%
- 2–012.3%
- 4–09.7%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–17.2%
Recent form
SGS Essen W
Eintracht Frankfurt II W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Koln II W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SGS Essen W win, at 86.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.