· Analysis updated 13:35 UTC
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ramtha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Shabab Al Ordon and 1.30 for Al Ramtha, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Al Ramtha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Ramtha win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Shabab Al Ordon home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Ramtha away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Ramtha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 25% / 29% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for Shabab Al Ordon and 1.30 for Al Ramtha, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.8%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–29.6%
Recent form
Shabab Al Ordon
- 2026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Jazeera · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ramtha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sama Al Sarhan · 2-0 (W)
Al Ramtha
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hussein · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-07T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Buqa'a · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Faisaly · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Faisaly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Jazeera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Wihdat | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Al Buqa'a | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ramtha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Salt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Hussein | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Doqarah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Ordon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Ramtha win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.