Kenya · FKF Premier League · Matchweek 3412:00
ShabanaWL

1 – 2

Sunday, 31 May 2026

KCBWWDL

· Analysis updated 13:41 UTC

Shabana vs KCB Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Shabana vs KCB in the FKF Premier League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Shabana home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Shabana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Shabana and 1.18 for KCB, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Shabana or KCB yet, so these numbers are a FKF Premier League scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Shabana win44%
Draw26%
KCB win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Shabana

  • 2026-05-31T12:00:00.000Z · H vs KCB · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sofapaka · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bidco United · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mara Sugar · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulinzi Stars · 0-0 (D)

KCB

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    FKF Premier League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Mathare United000000
    2Ulinzi Stars000000
    3Tusker000000
    4GOR Mahia000000
    5AFC Leopards000000
    6KCB000000
    7Posta Rangers FC000000
    8Bandari000000
    9Homeboyz000000
    10Police000000
    11Migori Youth000000
    12Shabana000000
    13APS Bomet000000
    14Murang'a SEAL000000
    15Mombasa Elite000000
    16Mara Sugar000000
    17Nairobi United000000
    183K000000

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.