Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Shakhtar Donetsk U19 and 1.29 for LNZ Cherkasy U19, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives LNZ Cherkasy U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.29

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
LNZ Cherkasy U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates LNZ Cherkasy U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 36% / 27% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk U19 and 1.29 for LNZ Cherkasy U19, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 win36%

Draw27%

LNZ Cherkasy U19 win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–112.7%
0–110.2%
1–09.9%
1–28.2%
2–18.0%

Recent form

Shakhtar Donetsk U19

2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-09T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-03T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-2 (L)

LNZ Cherkasy U19

2026-09-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zhytomyr U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

U19 League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rukh Vynnyky U19	10	9	0	1	35	27
2	Dynamo Kyiv U19	11	8	1	2	13	25
3	LNZ Cherkasy U19	11	6	2	3	4	20
4	Livyi Bereh U19	11	6	2	3	-1	20
5	Karpaty Lviv U19	11	6	1	4	8	19
6	Oleksandria U19	11	5	2	4	2	17
7	Metalist 1925 U19	11	4	2	5	-6	14
8	Veres Rivne U19	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Zhytomyr U19	10	4	0	6	-4	12
10	Shakhtar Donetsk U19	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Lviv U19	11	3	0	8	-10	9
12	Obolon' Kyiv U19	10	2	3	5	-7	9
13	SK Metalurh U19	11	2	2	7	-18	8
14	Kolos Kovalivka U19	11	2	0	9	-14	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.