· Analysis updated 06:08 UTC
Sharjah FC vs Abha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.07 for Abha, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Sharjah FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sharjah FC win
55.9% probability
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sharjah FC home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Abha away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sharjah FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Sharjah FC and 1.07 for Abha, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.1%
Recent form
Sharjah FC
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajman · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Wahda FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Hatta SC · 3-0 (W)
Abha
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Diriyah · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nassr · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ettifaq · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Fayha · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-25T16:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Khaleej Saihat · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sharjah FC win, at 55.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.