Sharjah Stadium · Referee Z. Al Nuaimi · Analysis updated 14:22 UTC
Sharjah FC vs Dubai United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.93 for Dubai United, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Sharjah FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sharjah FC win
51.9% probability
Expected goals
2.55 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sharjah FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dubai United away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sharjah FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 19% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.55 goals for Sharjah FC and 1.93 for Dubai United, a combined 4.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.1%
- 3–25.8%
- 1–15.6%
Recent form
Sharjah FC
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Urooba · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Ajman · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-09T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Jazira · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajman · 2-3 (L)
Dubai United
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hatta SC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T13:05:00.000Z · A vs Al-Dhafra · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-08T13:10:00.000Z · A vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Hatta SC · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 4-3 Dubai United (Pro League)
- 2025-10-24T12:55:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 1-1 Dubai United (Presidents Cup)
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Al-Wasl FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Ain | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Wahda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sharjah FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Ajman | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Nasr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Dubai United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Al-Dhafra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Khorfakkan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sharjah FC win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.