Sharjah FC vs Khorfakkan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Sharjah FC and 1.53 for Khorfakkan, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Sharjah FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Sharjah FC win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.38 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sharjah FC home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sharjah FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 19% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Sharjah FC and 1.53 for Khorfakkan, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sharjah FC win57%

Draw19%

Khorfakkan win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.7%
1–17.3%
3–16.9%
2–26.6%
2–05.7%

Recent form

Sharjah FC

2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Ajman · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-11T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Wahda FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 4-3 (W)
2026-08-30T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Hatta SC · 3-0 (W)

Khorfakkan

2026-10-24T12:55:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-18T13:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Wahda FC · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-08T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Wasl FC · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-02T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Al-Jazira · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ittihad Kalba · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-05-15T14:10:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 3-1 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2025-09-11T16:15:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 2-2 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2025-05-22T15:40:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 4-2 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2025-01-11T13:05:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 1-0 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2024-09-07T16:15:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 2-1 Khorfakkan (League Cup)
2024-08-17T16:45:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 1-0 Khorfakkan (League Cup)
2024-05-20T14:10:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 3-1 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2023-12-15T15:30:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 4-1 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2023-02-17T13:30:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 0-1 Khorfakkan (Pro League)
2022-12-16T12:45:00.000Z · Sharjah FC 1-1 Khorfakkan (League Cup)

Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Jazira	6	4	2	0	9	14
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	4	1	1	7	13
3	Al-Wasl FC	6	4	1	1	11	13
4	Al Ain	6	4	1	1	5	13
5	Al Wahda FC	6	4	0	2	2	12
6	Sharjah FC	6	4	0	2	5	12
7	Ajman	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Al Nasr	6	2	2	2	1	8
9	Dubai United	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Al-Dhafra	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Al-Ittihad Kalba	6	1	2	3	-7	5
12	Khorfakkan	6	1	1	4	-8	4
13	Hatta SC	6	1	0	5	-8	3
14	Baniyas SC	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sharjah FC win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.