Bramall Lane · Referee C. Parke · Analysis updated 11:03 UTC
Sheffield United W vs Bristol City W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Sheffield United W and 2.08 for Bristol City W, a combined total of 3.94. That distribution gives Bristol City W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.6% probability
Expected goals
1.86 – 2.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sheffield United W home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bristol City W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bristol City W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 35% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Sheffield United W and 2.08 for Bristol City W, a combined 3.94 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.8%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–35.4%
Recent form
Sheffield United W
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Leicester City FC W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bristol City W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Durham W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Southampton W · 2-5 (L)
Bristol City W
- 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolverhampton W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-21T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Charlton Athletic W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Southampton W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Southampton W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Burnley W · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Women's Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Sunderland W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Bristol City W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Nottingham Forest W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Southampton W | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Leicester City FC W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheffield United W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Watford W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Burnley W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 12 | Durham W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.