Macedonia · First League · Matchweek 3214:00

0 – 7

Saturday, 16 May 2026

· Analysis updated 09:47 UTC

Shkupi 1927 vs FK Rabotnicki Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Shkupi 1927 vs FK Rabotnicki in the First League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Shkupi 1927 home form

    0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Shkupi 1927 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Shkupi 1927 and 1.18 for FK Rabotnicki, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Shkupi 1927 or FK Rabotnicki yet, so these numbers are a First League scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Shkupi 1927 win44%
Draw26%
FK Rabotnicki win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Shkupi 1927

  • 2026-09-20T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pelister · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sasa · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Gorno Lisiče · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Teteks · 1-3 (L)

FK Rabotnicki

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    First League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Shkendija117311424
    2Struga117221923
    3Vardar Skopje11632821
    4Tikveš104511317
    5Sileks11443816
    6Shkëndija Haraçinë11425-714
    7Bregalnica Štip10316-610
    8Aresimi10244-1310
    9Bashkimi Kumanovo10217-207
    10Skopje11038-163

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.