· Analysis updated 04:45 UTC
Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for Sidama Bunna and 1.32 for Al Hilal Omdurman, a combined total of 2.12. That distribution gives Al Hilal Omdurman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Hilal Omdurman win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
0.80 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sidama Bunna home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Hilal Omdurman away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Hilal Omdurman to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 23% / 29% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.80 goals for Sidama Bunna and 1.32 for Al Hilal Omdurman, a combined 2.12 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.8%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–210.4%
- 1–09.6%
Recent form
Sidama Bunna
- 2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Hilal Omdurman · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hilal Omdurman · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aiglons · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Aiglons · 0-0 (D)
Al Hilal Omdurman
- 2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sidama Bunna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sidama Bunna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Kigali · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aigle Noir · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aigle Noir · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Hilal Omdurman win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.