Fritz Reuter Sportpark · Analysis updated 14:50 UTC
Siedenbollentin vs Anker Wismar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.12 expected goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.98 for Anker Wismar, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Siedenbollentin win
63.4% probability
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Siedenbollentin home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Anker Wismar away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 20% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.12 goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.98 for Anker Wismar, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
Siedenbollentin
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Klosterfelde · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Neustrelitz · 2-3 (L)
Anker Wismar
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Makkabi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAK '07 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Siedenbollentin | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lichtenberg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Optik Rathenow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Anker Wismar | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Lok Stendal | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Union Klosterfelde | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Tennis Borussia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Makkabi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Neustrelitz | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Siedenbollentin win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.