Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · Nordost-Nord - 2816:45

4 – 3

Friday, 8 May 2026

Anker WismarLWLLW

Fritz Reuter Sportpark · Analysis updated 14:50 UTC

Siedenbollentin vs Anker Wismar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.12 expected goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.98 for Anker Wismar, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Siedenbollentin win

63.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.12 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Siedenbollentin home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Anker Wismar away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 20% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.12 goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.98 for Anker Wismar, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Siedenbollentin win63%
Draw20%
Anker Wismar win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 3–07.1%

Recent form

Siedenbollentin

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Klosterfelde · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Neustrelitz · 2-3 (L)

Anker Wismar

  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Makkabi · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Siedenbollentin win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.