Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · NOFV-Nord - 917:30

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Friday, 23 October 2026

· Analysis updated 14:48 UTC

Siedenbollentin vs Hansa Rostock II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Siedenbollentin and 1.32 for Hansa Rostock II, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Siedenbollentin home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hansa Rostock II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 25% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.56 goals for Siedenbollentin and 1.32 for Hansa Rostock II, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Siedenbollentin win43%
Draw25%
Hansa Rostock II win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 0–17.4%

Recent form

Siedenbollentin

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)

Hansa Rostock II

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-01T12:00:00.000Z · Siedenbollentin 1-3 Hansa Rostock II (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
  • 2025-08-31T12:00:00.000Z · Siedenbollentin 2-2 Hansa Rostock II (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.