Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · Nordost-Nord - 2612:00

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Saturday, 25 April 2026

MakkabiLLWLD

Fritz Reuter Sportpark · Analysis updated 14:32 UTC

Siedenbollentin vs Makkabi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.96 expected goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.61 for Makkabi, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Siedenbollentin win

69.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.61

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Siedenbollentin home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Makkabi away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 20% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.96 goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.61 for Makkabi, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Siedenbollentin win69%
Draw20%
Makkabi win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 1–015.0%
  • 2–014.7%
  • 3–09.6%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–19.0%

Recent form

Siedenbollentin

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)

Makkabi

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Siedenbollentin win, at 69.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.