· Analysis updated 14:29 UTC
Siedenbollentin vs Optik Rathenow Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.76 for Optik Rathenow, a combined total of 2.29. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Siedenbollentin win
55.6% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.76
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Siedenbollentin home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Optik Rathenow away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 26% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Siedenbollentin and 0.76 for Optik Rathenow, a combined 2.29 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.5%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–19.0%
Recent form
Siedenbollentin
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Klosterfelde · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Neustrelitz · 2-3 (L)
Optik Rathenow
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Klosterfelde · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Neustrelitz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | BAK '07 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Siedenbollentin | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Lichtenberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Anker Wismar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Tennis Borussia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Hansa Rostock II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Optik Rathenow | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Union Klosterfelde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Makkabi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Neustrelitz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Siedenbollentin win, at 55.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.