Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · NOFV-Nord - 712:00

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Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Analysis updated 15:04 UTC

Siedenbollentin vs Tennis Borussia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Siedenbollentin and 1.25 for Tennis Borussia, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Siedenbollentin home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tennis Borussia away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 25% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Siedenbollentin and 1.25 for Tennis Borussia, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Siedenbollentin win43%
Draw25%
Tennis Borussia win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.5%

Recent form

Siedenbollentin

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)

Tennis Borussia

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Siedenbollentin · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anker Wismar · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

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Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.