Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 209:00

2 – 2

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 18:40 UTC

Sigma Olomouc U19 vs Hradec Králové U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc U19 and 2.19 for Hradec Králové U19, a combined total of 4.14. That distribution gives Hradec Králové U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 2.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hradec Králové U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Sigma Olomouc U19 win36%
Draw20%
Hradec Králové U19 win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–35.4%

Recent form

Sigma Olomouc U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)

Hradec Králové U19

  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 2-2 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2026-04-03T09:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 2-2 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2025-08-27T09:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 1-2 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2023-06-03T09:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 1-0 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2022-11-05T10:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 1-0 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2022-02-26T10:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 6-2 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2021-10-30T09:00:00.000Z · Sigma Olomouc U19 0-1 Hradec Králové U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.