Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1009:00

6 – 1

Friday, 9 October 2026

Teplice U19WWLDL

· Analysis updated 12:23 UTC

Sigma Olomouc U19 vs Teplice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.11 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc U19 and 2.25 for Teplice U19, a combined total of 5.36. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sigma Olomouc U19 win

55.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.11 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Teplice U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sigma Olomouc U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 17% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.11 goals for Sigma Olomouc U19 and 2.25 for Teplice U19, a combined 5.36 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sigma Olomouc U19 win56%
Draw17%
Teplice U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals78%
Both teams to score85%

Correct score

  • 3–26.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 3–15.3%
  • 2–15.1%
  • 4–24.6%

Recent form

Sigma Olomouc U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)

Teplice U19

  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 6-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sigma Olomouc U19 win, at 55.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.