· Analysis updated 07:33 UTC
Sigma Olomouc U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.23 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc U19 and 1.76 for Zbrojovka Brno U19, a combined total of 4.98. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sigma Olomouc U19 win
66.4% probability
Expected goals
3.23 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sigma Olomouc U19 home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zbrojovka Brno U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sigma Olomouc U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 15% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.23 goals for Sigma Olomouc U19 and 1.76 for Zbrojovka Brno U19, a combined 4.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.7%
- 2–16.3%
- 3–25.9%
- 2–25.5%
- 4–15.4%
Recent form
Sigma Olomouc U19
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)
Zbrojovka Brno U19
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sigma Olomouc U19 win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.