Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc and 2.00 for Slavia Praha, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Slavia Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Slavia Praha win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.17 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sigma Olomouc home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Slavia Praha away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slavia Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 22% / 22% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.17 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 2.00 for Slavia Praha, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sigma Olomouc win22%

Draw22%

Slavia Praha win57%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–19.8%
1–29.8%
0–18.4%
0–28.4%
1–36.5%

Recent form

Sigma Olomouc

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Prostějov · 2-2 (D)

Slavia Praha

2026-10-13T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Sabah FA · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Plzen · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Varnsdorf · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Czech Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	11	8	3	0	20	27
2	Sigma Olomouc	11	6	2	3	4	20
3	Slovan Liberec	11	6	2	3	6	20
4	Mlada Boleslav	11	6	2	3	5	20
5	Zbrojovka Brno	11	6	1	4	0	19
6	Sparta Praha	11	6	1	4	8	19
7	Teplice	11	5	2	4	1	17
8	FK Jablonec	11	5	2	4	2	17
9	Plzen	11	4	4	3	4	16
10	Bohemians 1905	10	4	3	3	0	15
11	Hradec Králové	11	4	3	4	-3	15
12	Pardubice	11	3	2	6	-4	11
13	Baník Ostrava	11	3	2	6	-11	11
14	Artis	10	2	2	6	-9	8
15	Slovácko	11	1	4	6	-8	7
16	Zlin	11	0	1	10	-15	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.