Andruv stadion · Analysis updated 15:32 UTC
Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.03 for Žilina, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sigma Olomouc win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sigma Olomouc home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Žilina away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sigma Olomouc to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 24% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.03 for Žilina, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Sigma Olomouc
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Prostějov · 2-2 (D)
Žilina
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Trencin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Vavrečka · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Podbrezová · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sigma Olomouc win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.