The Asda Foundation Stadium · Analysis updated 09:52 UTC
Silsden vs Consett Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Silsden and 1.50 for Consett, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Silsden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Silsden home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Consett away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Silsden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Silsden and 1.50 for Consett, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Silsden
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Consett · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Consett · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Garforth Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallam · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Matlock Town · 1-2 (L)
Consett
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silsden · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silsden · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ossett United · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brighouse Town · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bishop Auckland · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Div One - Northern East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 42 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 102 | 105 |
| 2 | Matlock Town | 42 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 88 |
| 3 | AFC Emley | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Dunston UTS | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 76 |
| 5 | Bradford (Park Avenue) | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 75 |
| 6 | Pontefract Collieries | 42 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 74 |
| 7 | Heaton Stannington | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 61 |
| 8 | Bridlington Town | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 59 |
| 9 | Garforth Town | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 58 |
| 10 | Consett | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 58 |
| 11 | North Ferriby | 42 | 13 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 58 |
| 12 | Hallam | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | -7 | 53 |
| 13 | Lincoln United | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 53 |
| 14 | Ashington AFC | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | -32 | 51 |
| 15 | Grimsby Borough | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | -29 | 49 |
| 16 | Blyth Spartans | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | -6 | 47 |
| 17 | Silsden | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | -22 | 44 |
| 18 | Ossett United | 42 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -13 | 42 |
| 19 | Bishop Auckland | 42 | 12 | 5 | 25 | -27 | 41 |
| 20 | Blyth Town | 42 | 12 | 5 | 25 | -34 | 41 |
| 21 | Newton Aycliffe | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -37 | 36 |
| 22 | Brighouse Town | 42 | 8 | 7 | 27 | -67 | 31 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.