England · FA Trophy · 1st Round Qualifying14:00
SilsdenLDWLL

3 – 2

Saturday, 29 August 2026

ConsettWLWLL

· Analysis updated 12:43 UTC

Silsden vs Consett Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Silsden and 1.18 for Consett, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Silsden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Silsden win

49.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Silsden home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Consett away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Silsden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 24% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Silsden and 1.18 for Consett, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Silsden win50%
Draw24%
Consett win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–26.6%

Recent form

Silsden

  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Consett · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Consett · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Garforth Town · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallam · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Matlock Town · 1-2 (L)

Consett

  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silsden · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silsden · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ossett United · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brighouse Town · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bishop Auckland · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Silsden win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.